Publications
Macroeconomic volatility at the zero lower bound: Evidence from the OECD. Economics Letters, July 2021. [Published Paper]
Abstract: This paper tests whether volatility in inflation and GDP growth was higher at the ZLB across the period from 1990:1 to 2019:3 as predicted by conventional models. Contrary to the theoretical predictions, volatility was not higher at the ZLB.
Working Papers
Agglomeration, Sectoral Risk, and the Optimal Local Industry Composition (Job Market Paper)
Should Friday be the New Saturday? Hours Worked and Hours Wanted (with Gregor Jarosch and Laura Pilossoph) [Draft]
Abstract: This paper investigates self-reported wedges between how much people work and how much they want to work, at their current wage. More than two-thirds of full-time workers in German survey data are overworked—usual hours exceed desired hours. We combine this evidence with a simple model of labor supply to assess the welfare consequences of tighter weekly hours limits via willingness-to-pay calculations. According to counterfactuals, the optimal length of the workweek in Germany is 37 hours. Introducing such a cap would raise welfare by .5-1% of GDP. The gains from a shortened workweek are largest for workers who are married, female, college-educated, white-collar, middle aged, and high income. An extended analysis integrates a non-constant wage-hours relationship, falling capital returns, and a shrinking tax base.
Search Retaliation as Endogenous Labor Market Power (Copy available upon request)
Heterogeneity in Expectations of Future Tax Incidence – Implications for Fiscal Policy (Copy available upon request)
Works in Progress
Using Night Light Data to Approximate Local GDP (with Zhaosheng Li)
Ambiguity Aversion and Job Fit
